 |
|
 |
|
|
Future Changes
|
| |
|
The Sefton Coast has to be considered
in the light of the effect of possible climatic change - global
warming, sea level rise and an increase in storminess.
Numerous predictions have been made as to the magnitude of these
effects, with widely differing answers. However, recent predictions
have tended to come together in a narrower range. Recent climate
modelling work suggests a possible rise in average sea level of 0.3
metres over the next sixty years. On top of this, the increase in
maximum wave height and meteorological surge effects on any storm
event must be considered.
|
| |
|
|
Wind velocity frequency distribution for
different Irish Sea sectors
|
| |
|
Although the environmental influences and the directions of
sediment movement are well understood, there is uncertainty over
just how much sediment remains in the Irish Sea 'reservoir'.
It is now believed that most dune systems in Europe are mature and
in erosional and recycling phases. Knowing the sand budget
(the total amount of sand in the system) is as important as
the understanding of the living and non-living processes.
Therefore, more research is needed to gain an understanding
of how the Sefton Coast might respond to future climatic change.
|
| |
|